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Originally Posted by Molon Labe
Eh, luck only is a major factor if your buoys are spread out too much. It's more about being realistic about how much area you can search/secure given your target class, target speed, and the acoustic conditions. The smart money is always on the P-3 in a DW scenario (unless the pilot forgets the range of hostile SAM systems in the area..cough, Oneshot, cough cough) so you're not the one in need of luck.
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About the SAM issue.
You're correct in saying that careless air units (p-3 or mh-60r) are extremely succeptible to SAM attacks. But sub drivers forget that to launch SAMS you have to breach the surface, and at that moment they are vulnerable to the frigates cannon. And believe me, 2-3 shots are all that is needed to sink a sub.
A manned frigate plus 2 manned mh-60h and or/p-3 can make a sub drivers life very miserable. :p