SUBSIM Radio Room Forums - View Single Post - Time running out for Israeli-Iranian showdown?

baggygreen · 06-17-08, 10:50 PM

I love that analogy iceman..

Syria won't retaliate against israel because they know if they were to try, the world would believe these 'israeli lies' about there being a nuke plant in Syria.

Same deal goes with the rest of the ME, if israel were to attack Irans facilities, then you'd hear a lot of outrage from gulf states who would at the same time be thanking israel for setting back a nasty threat.

There might be more suiide bombings by the palestinians, might be more rocket attacks by hezbollah and retaliatory raids by the israelis, but i dont think much more than that would happen to israel.

The real retaliation would be Iran sinking a tanker in the gulf (possibly a live-fire exercise that goes 'oh so horribly wrong'), or even just mining it. Oil skyrockets, gulf is closed to shipping, and Iran gets its own back at the west who it will deem to have supported Israels actions.

06-17-08, 10:50 PM	#59
baggygreen Sea Lord Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Canberra, ACT, Down Under (really On Top) Posts: 1,880 Downloads: 7 Uploads: 0	I love that analogy iceman.. Syria won't retaliate against israel because they know if they were to try, the world would believe these 'israeli lies' about there being a nuke plant in Syria. Same deal goes with the rest of the ME, if israel were to attack Irans facilities, then you'd hear a lot of outrage from gulf states who would at the same time be thanking israel for setting back a nasty threat. There might be more suiide bombings by the palestinians, might be more rocket attacks by hezbollah and retaliatory raids by the israelis, but i dont think much more than that would happen to israel. The real retaliation would be Iran sinking a tanker in the gulf (possibly a live-fire exercise that goes 'oh so horribly wrong'), or even just mining it. Oil skyrockets, gulf is closed to shipping, and Iran gets its own back at the west who it will deem to have supported Israels actions.