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Old 06-17-08, 12:41 PM   #47
PeriscopeDepth
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Originally Posted by Stealth Hunter
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Originally Posted by PeriscopeDepth
You can't seriously believe Russia will go to nuclear war for Iran?
You don't know as much as you'd like to think about relations between the two countries. That's not trying to seem rude, mind you, but if you've stayed in Iran or even lived there, you'd know that there's a lot of talk between the countries... very secretive and very sensitive topics, might I add...
I know there's a lot of talk between the countries. Not all of it happy. Like how Russia has been delaying completion of the Bushehr reactor and blaming Iran for not paying, which the Iranians deny. Or how an Iran-Turkey pipeline has been superceding pipelines through the fUSSR in Russia's attempt to shore up their position in the Euro energy market. Or how Iran won't buy Russian fighters or subs again unless they are forced to (though they do seem to be fond of something the Russians have long been leaders at making - SAMs).
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/IG28Ak03.html

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They're very good friends once you get under the surface.
Neither side trusts one another. It is a relationship brought on by a common enemy in the region. It is in both their interests to minimize American influence in both the Middle East and the Caucasus.

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If it became a war for fuel, then it's very possible that it would result in nuclear conflict (and the one thing Russia has always wanted is resources; they might have enough, but it never hurts to have a little more, especially when your ally has the third largest reserve in the world!).
I just don't see it. They are allies of neccessity, and ones that don't trust each other at that. MAD kept the fUSSR and the USA from going to nuclear war with each other. It is silly to think that Iran will change anything about that. And it's laughable that you list North Korea as the third power in this fictious nuclear triad that will oppose the United States.

Russia is simply one of a few powerful countries that will openly associate with Iran. It is a symbiotic relationship for both countries due to their interests in the region. But even then Russia realizes it has to keep its distance from Iran, who is an international pariah. They have signed a treaty, but one that is largely symbolic and certainly not a suicide pact.

PD
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