I don't think the Iranians want the US to leave Iraq.
The only way Bush will leave Iraq is when he orders the US Army to invade Iran.
One way or another, those troops (or their replacements) will be in the middle east for the next 20 years, or until the US finds another part of the world that pisses em off.
(I'd feel sorry for Columbia if they ever cut coffee supplies to the US. That alone would justify an invasion there.)
As for Iraq, there would definitely be a civil war, and genocide of the minority. After another 10,000,000 people die, they would rebuild the country with revenues from oil sold to the US. (The US will need oil to invade Columbia).
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