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Old 03-20-08, 09:58 AM   #729
TDK1044
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The proportional representation nature of the Democratic Delegate voting process will mean that when all the remaining States are counted, whether Michigan and Florida are part of that or not, neither Clinton or Obama will have the votes necessary to carry the day.

The Super Delegates will decide it based on arm twisting and promises from the two nominees' Chiefs Of Staff. Obama will argue publically that he has the most States and the most Delegates, and that this is a Delegate race and not a popular vote race. Hillary will argue that she has more of the popular vote and that she wins the large States and he only wins the smaller States.

Come June, Obama will have about an 80 Delegate lead in my view, and it will come down to whether the Super Delegates believe that he of Hillary stands the better chance of beating McCain. Polls taken a week or so before the convention will be critical to the outcome, but I don't think Hillary can win it facing an 80 Delegate deficit going in.
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