[Skybird]

what I meant is this: while oil as a ressource for energy production will become more unaffordable for many, the unisuitrial supply to maintain the priduction of the goods you and me mentioned is so small that there is little reason to worry about that: there will be enough oil for these purposes for long time to come. Only the far bigger quantities needed for energy will become rare - in the understanding of extremely pricey. when I said one year ago I expect the price for one arel of oil going beyond 100 dollar soon, people here laughed about me. Now it is broadcasted on every TV channel, an dporbbaly nobody laughs anymore. So here is my next news: it will not stop at 100 dollars. In 2030 I could imagine you need to multiply that by a number between 2 and 5, assuming there are not significant events in current global economy trends that will completely revamp the scenario.

What that means for the average household, you can imagine.

there will be oil. Bot less and lesser nations as well as private people will be able to afford it. And I do not bet my money on the US being one belonging to those with the longest breath. just look at the monumental deficits, debts - and the immense dollar reserves of China. It's more reasonable to assume that America needs to fear a nightmare. Economically duelling it out over oil with China will see the US as the looser, I'm sure. And a military victory in case of a war confrontation, also is no longer a given, for various reasons.