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Originally Posted by JALU3
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Originally Posted by fatty
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Originally Posted by bradclark1
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Originally Posted by Safe-Keeper
Right. And of course crossing the road is not risky if the cars don't aim for you.
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There is more risk when they are aiming to hit you. |
But on the other hand, there's a very small risk that both brothers, out of the entire coalition occupation forces, would be the ones to die. It's been a while since I've taken stats, but I think that risk is 1/168,000 multiplied by 1/168,000. It's pretty darned unlucky and pretty darned sad. |
I once wrote a thread, somewhere, I forget, on another board, that looked at the statistical chances of death while a servicemember in the US Armed Forces . . . The statistical risk of death per 100,000 (staticians average) was higher then national rate of homicide but lower then say dying in an auto collision.
And depending on the occupation there are other, and some more hazardous, jobs outside of the military with the same fatality rate.
I need to look this up, as I wrote it up a year ago, and can't find it . . . give me time. |
That would be interesting to know, but I just wanted to make clear that I was assuming that the deaths of
any two coalition soldiers were already given, as if God came down and said "okay, I'm going to choose two random soldiers to take up to heaven." If we have 168,000 coalition servicemen/women (source: wiki) and assume that one must die. Out of brother X and Y, each brother has a 1 in 168,000 chance of being the one to die. If brother X dies and another death becomes inevitable, then brother Y has another 1 in 168,000 chance of dying. But because brother X already died, you encounter compound probability and must multiply the odds like I said, since it relies on the first condition of brother X's death to be fulfilled. So the chances of two men from the same family dying is about 1 in 28,224,000,000. On the other hand, the chances of a
third brother dying is a further 1 in 168,000 - bringing you to a pretty slim 1 in 4,741,632,000,000,000.
It's also possible I don't know anything.