Depends....
I'd say if you sank one, and it sank fast enough so that any sort of emergency distress protocol was useless, and then failed to report your sinking that it would take a few weeks for the fate of the ship to be determined, and by then the war would be on in earnst.
But the game registers kills as you make them.
In Sh3 I was rewarded for sinking neutral merchants, because when I just started playing I was under the assumption that Unrestricted means 'Unrestricted', so I would get tonnage based medals even though I sank neutral vessels.
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