I use the following method to determine target speed when a target is close enough and the aob is nearly 90°:
1. Determine target range
2. Note target bearing
3. Wait 3 * range/100 seconds
4. Calculate bearing change, which is the target's speed
5. If aob in the previous step differed from 90 by about 20 degrees, add 10%
6. If my range was in meters, multiply by 1.1
If bearing change was far under 10 degrees and the aob is still 90 or less, I wait another 3 * range/100 seconds, then continue with step 4 and as step 7, I divide the calculated speed by 2.
That's the simplest method I can think of when I want a good speed estimation.
I have described this method accurately in a different thread previously, even for general aobs. Unfortunately, that post has become a bit lengthy...
http://www.subsim.com/radioroom/show...=108454&page=3