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Originally Posted by Bilge_Rat
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Originally Posted by tater
Combined Fleet Decoded goes into the japanese rationale in some detail. The IGHQ only thought they had maybe a 10% chance of victory (meaning a negotiated peace as suggested by Banquet) on the eve of PH. Even the 10% was based upon things like a grossly underestimated requirement for bunker oil for the fleet, etc.
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Interesting. Do you have a reference for that? I thought they were confident of victory. |
The frequently expressed opinion was that they could run amok for 6 months and hold their own for up to 18 more months, after that things would not go well.