I don't think it will take too long at all. Modders are already throwing stuff out the door, with some being combined into packages already (ie Ducimus's "flavored to taste").
Won't take the die hard modders long to fully suss out the file structures. Heck, I've had the game installed for less than 10 hours and I think it's an old friend (granted one still in a bit of poor health).
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