Originally Posted by JSLTIGER

That estimate seems a little optimistic for the Republicans. The site I trust the most uses a blend of polls from different sources to calculate the "true" numbers. While not perfect, I find that this site tends to be reasonably accurate. It's also updated daily, which is nice.

www.electoral-vote.com

Current Projected Senate:
50 Democrats, 50 Republicans

Current Projected House:
227 Democrats, 207 Republicans, 1 Tie