The Russioans will not give their bases up silently. Peskov already announced they want to negotiate their status with any follow-up government there may be. This gives the Syrians a very tempting opportunity to drive the costs up and squeeze quite some out of Russia, if they jump over their shadow and consider the Russian request. Its not clear to nom what the new current leader values higher: to itch the West by allowing the Russians to stay and make " fortune" from this, or to appease the West by not allowing and by that maybe inviting Western instead of Russian support. None of the possible outcomes I would call "obvious" at this time.
__________________
If you feel nuts, consult an expert.
|