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Skybird · 09-24-24, 04:50 PM

[Focus] When will the government collapse? Resentment is growing in the FDP and more and more party members are calling for an end to the traffic light coalition. According to a media report, a specific date has already been set to initiate the end.

According to information from “Bild”, a concrete exit scenario, including a possible date, is already being discussed in the party's leadership committees - the focus is on November 14.

On this day, the traffic light coalition is to finalize the budget for 2025 in the so-called “adjustment meeting”. Two weeks later, the budget is scheduled to be passed by the Bundestag.

There is therefore a conviction among the leading Liberals: If the FDP really wants to leave the traffic light, this must happen before November 14, but by November 29 at the latest.

After the budget has been passed, an exit would no longer make sense, according to the thinking. Chancellor Olaf Scholz could then continue relatively easily with the Greens as a minority government and replace the FDP ministers with his own people. For the Liberals, it would be a loss of power - a nightmare scenario. The next federal election is not regularly scheduled until September 28, 2025.

Another point: if the FDP were to leave the government, its ministers would not be entitled to a pension, as the legislative period has not yet ended.

The FDP's withdrawal would therefore have to take place before the budget is adopted. Many Liberals hope that without a budget for 2025 and without the FDP, Scholz will not be able to continue governing for long. A red-green minority government would not have a majority for many projects.

The FDP hopes that there could be early elections. The next few weeks will be decisive. All eyes will be on possible conflicts in which the SPD and FDP in particular could be irreconcilably opposed to each other in order to find a comprehensible reason for leaving the coalition.

According to FDP circles, the greatest risk of explosion is in the areas of pensions, migration and the budget.

09-24-24, 04:50 PM	#2298
Skybird Soaring Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: the mental asylum named Germany Posts: 42,749 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	[Focus] When will the government collapse? Resentment is growing in the FDP and more and more party members are calling for an end to the traffic light coalition. According to a media report, a specific date has already been set to initiate the end. According to information from “Bild”, a concrete exit scenario, including a possible date, is already being discussed in the party's leadership committees - the focus is on November 14. On this day, the traffic light coalition is to finalize the budget for 2025 in the so-called “adjustment meeting”. Two weeks later, the budget is scheduled to be passed by the Bundestag. There is therefore a conviction among the leading Liberals: If the FDP really wants to leave the traffic light, this must happen before November 14, but by November 29 at the latest. After the budget has been passed, an exit would no longer make sense, according to the thinking. Chancellor Olaf Scholz could then continue relatively easily with the Greens as a minority government and replace the FDP ministers with his own people. For the Liberals, it would be a loss of power - a nightmare scenario. The next federal election is not regularly scheduled until September 28, 2025. Another point: if the FDP were to leave the government, its ministers would not be entitled to a pension, as the legislative period has not yet ended. The FDP's withdrawal would therefore have to take place before the budget is adopted. Many Liberals hope that without a budget for 2025 and without the FDP, Scholz will not be able to continue governing for long. A red-green minority government would not have a majority for many projects. The FDP hopes that there could be early elections. The next few weeks will be decisive. All eyes will be on possible conflicts in which the SPD and FDP in particular could be irreconcilably opposed to each other in order to find a comprehensible reason for leaving the coalition. According to FDP circles, the greatest risk of explosion is in the areas of pensions, migration and the budget. __________________ If you feel nuts, consult an expert.