[Skybird]

https://www.tichyseinblick.de/daili-...h-der-eu-wahl/



A “firewall” against the strongest party in the East, a fragmentation of the party landscape in the West. Germany is becoming difficult to govern. This is a consequence of the monopoly that the SPD and Greens have secured for themselves.


It was not only EU Europe that voted on Sunday. There were also several local elections in Germany. In Brandenburg, for example. The AfD achieved by far the best result there. It is now the strongest party in almost all district councils on the Havel and Oder rivers. The CDU, SPD and co. will now have to govern past it if they want to maintain the “firewall”.

In Mainz, the green world is still in order. With 25.3 percent, it remains the strongest party there. However, this could still change because Rhineland-Palatinate's local election law is complicated and the entire count will continue throughout the week. The collapse of the SPD is already exciting. It has now achieved 18.7 percent in a city where it was the mayor without interruption after the war until last year.

The exciting thing about the result is that the traffic light coalition has lost its majority. It was once tested in Mainz and then introduced in Rhineland-Palatinate, where it became a model for Germany thanks to former FDP Secretary General Volker Wissing. The people of Mainz are therefore further along with the traffic light system than their party colleagues in the federal government - and even in Mainz, which is heavily influenced by academia, this constellation no longer has a majority.


Also exciting: ten different parties are currently represented in the Mainz city parliament. In Rainer Brüderle's city association, the FDP will now have to live with the fact that the traffic light will be supplemented by the Left Party or Volt. A party that is even greener than the Greens. The former FDP stronghold has already shrunk to just over 5 percent. With even more gaga and degrowth, things are unlikely to get any better.

Mainz is just a local example. The party landscape will continue to fragment. In recent months, a lot of attention has been paid to the fragmentation on the right. But now it is becoming clear that this is actually taking place on the left. The Werteunion (Union of Values) had not yet contested the EU elections and the Bündnis Deutschland (Alliance Germany) did not stand out. Unlike Volt and the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance.

Volt represents pure doctrine when it comes to migration, identity politics or climate and environmental protection. Something that the Greens can no longer do in government. For example, because the construction of wind turbines cannot be reconciled with species protection for birds. The Sahra Wagenknecht alliance, meanwhile, has so far been sold as an alternative to the Alternative for Germany. However, only a few AfD voters from the EU elections came to the BSW, while over a million voters from the Left and the SPD went to Wagenknecht. The alliance is therefore a left-wing party.


In view of the fragmentation of the left half of the party, the “firewall” is therefore becoming an important instrument for building power. It can hold loose alliances together. At least in the West. In order to defend “our democracy” (and our posts), parties such as the FDP in the Mainz example can defend a coalition that is expanded to include the Volt or the Left. This means accepting even more left-wing tralala projects - even more tax money that is missing elsewhere where it would be put to good use.

In the east, it will be easier with the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance. Above all because the Left is threatening to disappear even in the East. That would make it easier for the CDU to accept all-party coalitions with the Alliance, SPD and Greens. Because of the “firewall”. For “our democracy” in the justification, for "our posts" as a true motive.

That is a practical solution for now. It may last a year, five years at best. But even those five years are shaky. Because this all-party coalition would reinforce the reason why Germany is already difficult to govern: the power arithmetic resulting from the “firewall”. Because coalitions with the AfD are taboo, there is no government in Germany, with the exception of Bavaria, there is no longer a government in which the SPD and/or Greens are not represented.


No matter how much FDP and CDU voters reject woke and anti-business, ideological and irrational policies, they still get them in the end. This is precisely what leads to the formation and rise of new parties: Because more and more want an escape from this logic. If the CDU and FDP build support structures to maintain this logic, this flight will only become more massive in the coming years. And then we will really need other ways of forming governments.