[Rockstar]

The comments from ‘Average Ukrainian 3af2245a’ are again interesting. This isn’t Russian propaganda from British tabloid news either. It’s out of Ukraine written by Gennady Druzenko who is a lawyer, volunteer, co-founder and president of the PDMSH named after Mykola Pirogov.

Mr. Gennady disguised a simple thought under a mountain of words - under the power of green nits, Ukraine is waiting for an inevitable collapse - quote: "...this president and this government, simply untenable..." And Mr. Gennady offers to temporarily freeze the war so that power can be re-elen.
It's very good that Mr. Gennady did come to the conclusion that Zelenskyy and his ssewed green shay should be driven by three. The author's speed of thinking has not even passed five years.
But there is one issue regarding the freezing of the war - it will be necessary to persuade the Rashists to do so - like, wait, please, we will remove green **** here in Ukraine, put effective power and with new forces and ideas will start fighting with you again.
There is an opinion that the Rascists will not agree...

When will the war end?

https://censor.net/ua/blogs/3491687/...olom_peremovin

War in the modern world is the last possible policy option. You should fight when there is simply no other way out. When you refuse to hold a blow, you will get both war and shame, or rather, shameful occupation.
However, when fighting, it should always be remembered that war is for peace, not peace for war. Any wise and far-sighted statesman prefers to bring his country out of the war with the least losses and on the most acceptable terms.
The charismatic maximalist Napoleon eventually lost his war, although he won many battles. Pragmatic Mannerheim won his war, although he lost 11% of Finnish territory. However, he kept the Finnish state.
The picture that has been engraved in our heads since World War II, in which the war ends with a complete and unconditional surrender of the aggressor, is a historical exception, not a rule. The vast majority of wars ended at the negotiating table. And rarely, extremely rarely, the terms of peace were fair. Rather, they recorded a new balance of power on a certain frontier.
We have about six months to complete the current phase of the war with Russia. We need a pause in the wine no less, but probably more than Putin. Because I am deeply convinced that under this government, with such an ineffective organization of the state, with corrupt corruption by state bodies, with complete dependence on Western weapons and Western finance, in this context, Ukraine loses more from the continuation of the war than Russia.
A few examples are enough. Currently, the Russia produces artillery shells three times faster and four times cheaper compared to the United States and Europe, according to an analysis by consulting company Bain & Company. This year, Russia plans to produce 4.5 million artillery shells worth about $1,000 each, while the average cost of shells produced in Europe and the United States is about $4,000, although in some cases their cost can be more than $5,000 per unit.
And this does not include terrible CABs, the production of which is gaining momentum in Russia, and unguided air bombs, as well as cruise and ballistic missiles that destroy Ukrainian infrastructure in the deep rear.
The second example. According to the estimates of Volodymyr Omelchenko, Director of Energy Programs of the Razumkov Center, "today more than 70% of all electricity generation has been destroyed, damaged or occupied in Ukraine." And while we do not have and in the eepsy future, there is no envisaged an impenetrable air defense system that would guarantee that it will not be destroyed anymore. How we will survive next winter is an open question.
Another example. "More than 25% of children currently in Ukraine are deprived of the opportunity to fully study due to hostilities and regular rocket attacks by Russia," according to the Institute of Educational Analytics. Back in 2021, UN head Antonio Guterres warned that the transition of online learning caused by the pandemic could turn into a "whole generation disaster". For Ukraine, where children have been deprived of normal offline learning at desks for four years, this disaster, unfortunately, has already become a fait accompli.
We really fight like lions. Our defenders work real miracles at the front. But the long war is always about arithmetic, not heroism. And arithmetic, unfortunately, is not in our favor. The Wehrmacht, by far the best and most advanced war machine of the 1940s, lost to the allies (and above all the USSR) because it did not have so many people, weapons and other resources.
4 million shells that Russia will produce this year will allow it to produce about 10,000 shells per day at Ukrainian positions. Even if 100 enemy shells kill only one Ukrainian, it is 100 people a day, or 36.5 thousand a year. This is not counting 200,000 unguided air bombs and thousands of CABs... Plus drones and all kinds of missiles that Mordor has at its disposal. I don't even mention the losses from the enemy "storklekotny" here...
It's time to face the truth. Over the past year and a half, the front has stalled. In absolute terms, we lost several hundred square kilometres of Ukrainian territory more than we won back. In percentage, it is tenths of a percent. That is, we have learned to restrain the horde, but - unfortunately - we currently do not have the strength and means to liberate our occupied (hopefully temporarily) lands. And given the dynamics of mobilization, supply and production of weapons and ammunition, time is playing against us.
In six months, the presidential election will be held in the United States. After which, in the event of Biden's victory, assistance to Ukraine will continue, but will gradually stagnate, and therefore the chances of a turning point in the war are minimal. In the event of Trump's victory, complete uncertainty awaits us. But it is unlikely that business pragmatist and isolationist Trump will want and be able to reverse the course of the war in Ukraine. So next winter, after the US presidential election, our negotiating position will only become weaker, if not catastrophic.
Therefore, it is necessary to go out to freeze the war this fall. Making the most of the results of mobilization and the generous package of American armed assistance. Leveling the situation at the front (or rather at the fronts) where we are currently retreating.
To do this, it is not necessary to sign a humiliating peace with Putin or recognize the occupied territories as a legitimate part of the Russian Federation. The Korean Truce Agreement is still in effect...
To defeat, Ukraine needs to turn into a European Israel – a mobilized nation in which only national interests remain constant. Partners and allies can change. Improve constitutional architecture. Create an effective state machine. Introduce total military duty. Burn corruption from the state apparatus with hot iron. In a word, learn to live under the sword of Damocles of a Russian attack that can happen at any time.
Unfortunately, this president and this government are simply unable to undergo such transformations. They survived at a time when the world was hiding Ukraine. For this, they are honored and praised and eternal honor in history textbooks. But now creatives, improvisers (as well as schematists) should give way to architects, designers and engineers of statehood. Iron eggs (or if you like, iron will) are not a sufficient prerequisite for winning this war. We can only win by radically changing the system, changing ourselves. And the current leaders of Ukraine are unable to do this. Unfortunately...
Therefore, we desperately need a pause in the war to change the power, change the system, change Ukraine and finally properly prepare for the next rounds of endless duel with Russia, not for May barbecues...
Otherwise, Ukraine will become similar to the Serebryansky Forest (pictured), which is a witness to incredible Ukrainian heroism and military skill. But from which there is almost nothing left. Джерело: