Quote:
Originally Posted by Dargo
Nothing says assured Russian victory quite like them sending their infantry into active battlefields on Chinese golf carts. Confetti! After every town, village shot to rubble Russia face open fields, rivers, etc they must cross with Ukraine on better defence lines turkey shooting no decisive breakthrough only small salients where Russia gone face supply problems with so many drones in the air nobody can here do quick forward pushes. After Bahkmut Russia needed more than a year to prepare this offensive with their high losses in material daily this will stall. Russia has not the reserves, the workforce that you need to win this offensive they're losing weekly what they can bring to the fronts in a month. If you have more than 100k troops more than 500 tanks and so so many bombs and shells after more than 6 months only advance 200 square Km you are not breaking through you are crawling through Ukraine holds the lines and with new supplies will hold it this year draining Russia of its workforce, resources, material and personnel.
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80% of Ukrainian criticla infraxstructre destroeyd. Not damaged - DESTROYED. Most powerplants out of action, the majorit yof nthese - DESTROYED. Civilian production plummeting constantly to new lows. Financially, Ukraine cannot survive by its own means anymore.
Thats what I see.
What I also see: no realistic way for Ukraine to get back the territories occupied by Russia. No Ukriane offensive this year or in the next. No new equipping of 10-15 attack brigades by the West.
The population having lost a significant share of its formner soze, with the threat that they could lose a quarter and more ifm Russia just stay sin the game. Lost mostly due to migration. Thats what I see.
What I dont see, is this: another US aid package like this one being put together this year or the next year, no matter who wins the US election. I dont see European nations compensating for the US dropping out.
Tanks are tools of war - not the objective. You count healdines thatn Ukraine tries to rpouce whenever Rus sia did somethign successful. It is nto that mcub relevant you know. You should have noticed by now that Russia -
adapts. It has adapted to the 777s. The Javelins. The Himars. The Leopards and Abrams, the Marders and Bradleys. The Cesar and PZH2000 SPA artillery. It got delayed in doing things - not stopped. It will be like this with rhe Atacms, and the - way too few - Falcons.
Because the root evil remains: Ukraine does get WAY TOO FEW QUANTITIES of everything.
The only thing that Russia finds difficult to adapt to, are the drones. But at least they learned to impose the same problem on the Ukrainians.
Next winter - and there will come a next winter - will be hell in Ukraine.
You pay too much attention to sensational headlines about tactical micro successes here and there. But for the most they do not really mean that much in the bigger scheme of things.
The aid package so far just extends the deadline for Ukraine a little bit. Not more. And Europe refuses to significantly top up the American package. And with what it should want to do that anyway...? We are almost naked.
Germany annoucned to give a third Patriot battery to Ukraine. Of previously 11 batteries, then 8 remain. The call for other European nations to provide additional air defences, went unheard.
New stuff has been ordered by the military, the German and other European armies as well. For the most it will take years before it arrives. One waited two years, sticking the head in the sand. Two years - senselessly wasted.
What it all means by the end of the day? It is still by far not enough. Thats what it means. Not "not enough" by a margin - not enough BY FACTORS.