[Skybird]

https://www-focus-de.translate.goog/...en&_x_tr_hl=de

"From a purely military point of view, the Iranian attack was an outright failure," states Islamic scholar Gerhard Conrad, who was involved in a number of secret operations as a top agent of the German Federal Intelligence Service (BND) for many years.

Nevertheless, there is no reason to play down or trivialize the attack. Conrad told FOCUS online: "After all, it took a concerted, highly qualified military effort by Israel and its allies to successfully repel the attack."

(...)
In the view of the former secret agent, there is little to suggest that Israel will leave it at successfully repelling the attack. "The logic of military deterrence pursued so far, which does not leave even the ineffectual attempt at a military attack on Israel unpunished, stands in the way of this."


Gerhard Conrad: "Iran will most likely not be granted the satisfaction of having carried out such an attack without a reaction from its opponent. Such restraint would be seen as a 'sign of weakness' in Israel as well as in Iran and the region."


For this reason alone, a prompt military response from Israel is to be expected. Conrad told FOCUS online: "The risk of a military escalation, including the potential of Hezbollah in Lebanon, is therefore not yet off the table."