[KaleunMarco]

Originally Posted by ESPY

Anybody familiar with the traffic routes into Truk in Dec '42 (TMO 2.5 + RSRD)?

I received a radio message indicating arrival of at least 3 convoys from home waters on the 11th, 15th, and 18th and have made a couple attempts to intercept but keep coming up empty.

First time I patrolled an area due north of Truk, thinking they might navigate one of the two channels that lead south to Truk. The other time I stayed NW of Truk patrolling an area around the line between Truk and Tokyo.

Thanks!
ESPY

yes, that can happen.
then again, the next time you play that same mission, three convoys will steam into your patrol area at the same time.
the thing is that convoy activity is controlled by the AI and there are random factors involved (probability). if the dice roll is low, a convoy will not be spawned (created), and each convoy will have its own spawn probability.