I am still amazed that it was seriously assumed that a country that is practically self-sufficient and autark in supplying its population with food and its own industrial supply of basic raw materials, and that has the largest reservoir of raw materials in the world, could be sanctioned with economic sanctions and boycotts, all the while over 60% of states are still doing business with Russia, and in many cases are even expanding them. Just as we have overestimated the war-deciding impact of Western weapons, we have underestimated Russia's economic resilience - and still do, because I am pretty sure that Russia will also find a solution for the predicted end of Russia's economic resilience.
In any case, we have now heard so often that Russia cannot do this and cannot sustain that, that this premature swan song has become literally boring.
And in the end, two facts remain:
1. Ukraine is slowly but surely losing the war, at least for the time being - and an end in this trend currently is not in sight.
2. Any late economic consequences for Russia will very probably not have a decisive impact on the Russian war effort during the active phase of the war or even force it to break off, as was the Western calculation. And what may or may not impact on Russia after the war, is nothing that helps Ukraine while the war is raging.
__________________
If you feel nuts, consult an expert.
|