[Skybird]

I do not say Sersky is no competent officer - he is, his name popped up during this war's time several times, always in a positive context. But he does not preach much differently than Zalushnji, and like his predecessor accentuates the need for modern technology and accompnying tactics. However, he has not the same popularity with the troops like Zalushnji, and especially not in the population. And this big public support for Zalushnji matters very much in regard to public and troop morale. Zelenskji got angry at Zalushnji when Zalushnji had enough of Zelenskji's endless display of unfounded optimism, and spoke tachless in his now famous essay for the Economist. As I see things from the distance, he simply spoke out the truth, while Zelensji endlessly blinds the Ukrainians - and these have started to realise it.

Zelenskji wanted to get rid of a potential and then potent political rival whose popularity more and more undermined his own declining authority. The job of Syrski now is to work miracles and wonders to reverse Zelenskji's decline with the population this way.

Note that a first attempt to fire Zalushnji in a soft exit, asking him to step down, was refused by the man - and that Wetsern leaders intervened on his behalf and wanted Zelenski to hold him. Also, Washington and Berlin and the others probably as well do not unconditionally trust Zelenski, never did, from beginning on. They remained to stay cautiously on their guard, sugarcoating that stand with lots of sweet cream and honeyful wordings that cost nothing.

Zelenskji can no longer work as the figurehead of Ukrainian resistence will, he has shot all his powder to get more weapons from the West, and the country now is taken hostage by the Republican mess in the US. Ukraine is helpless in this, can do nothing. With that being said, Zelenskji's star is descending. After all, Russia's superior economic and demographic and military weight and mass against the Ukraine makes itself being felt now. With US support gone, they can anger the Russians, and sting them in their rear, but they cannot reverse the general trend.

And when the looming Russian "elections" are done, Putin must not hold back with unpopular measures anymore.

The West had its chance. It let it pass by. Now what I see is just delaying the announcement of the result. But that causes its own costs in themselves.

The West acted very, very stupdily and cowardly. We should have gone "all in" in the first months already - or stayed out of it all, completely". The half-baked approach that was chosen, was and is not expedient and only serves to conceal the company's own failures.

The chance to end this conflict by beating the Russians their mouths bloody, was in the very beginning. It was then when all in support possible should have been activated and sent in. Now, over the long time, politically and materially and psychologically everything works for Russia and against Ukraine. Thats why I think the war is decided. They just delay the announcement of the outcome. The recipe to win the war was by deciding it very early on and to avoid, at all cost, a prolongued war like now. Russia now creeps in for the win. They will secure big chunks of territory from Ukraine, much of its industrial heart, and plenty of its agricultural farmground. Probably not this year, maybe not next year - but in the end of all this.