[Dargo]

A million artillery shells from North Korea is not enough Russian artillery doctrine used 30,000 shells a day that did not win them anything in the past. Such intensity wears out the guns, requires extensive support, and is less viable as Russia loses the radars it needs to find and suppress Ukrainian artillery. Russian artillery doctrine is still largely based on extensive analysis of World War II data to determine how many shells were needed to achieve a specific effect, but this is a modern war, not WWII. Russia may be able to increase production of artillery in the next couple of years to about 2 million shells annually, estimated Russia fired between 10 million and 11 million rounds last year in Ukraine. If you expended 10 million rounds last year, and you're in the middle of a fight, and you can only produce 1 to 3 million rounds a year, I don't think that's a very strong position. Other Russia investments in its defence sector may also allow Moscow to produce close to 200 tanks a year, but that is a far cry from what it needs after suffering heavy losses in Ukraine. When you've lost +2,000 tanks, you've got a decade before you get to where you started, Russia had also lost +4,000 armoured fighting vehicles, over 100 aircraft and suffered 270,000 casualties in the conflict, including both forces killed and wounded. Again, a decade before Russia gets to where it began this war.