Quote:
Originally Posted by Dargo
That is not a bad thing they kept brigades in reserve and with the new support they will have a greater force for the next offensive. Those reserves will threaten the Russians, in the meantime it will be forces to keep manning the whole front line, never knowing where Ukraine will strike.
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Reisner already said one week ago only four brigades - at that time - were still unengaged, and these had started to bring their artillery battallions forward by that time.
That means at that time two thirds of the attack force was already in engaged in battle and had suffered losses - but despite six weeks had not even made contatc with the Russian first defence line, not to mention: breaking through it.
They currently still mess around with the outposts before the first line. Think of it!
The first defence line is not to hold up an attack, but just to delay it, slow it down, if possible: channel it into wanted kill zones. The most experienced forces the Russians have put into the
THIRD line...
Sorry, but no, this thing is not going well for Ukraine. And the clock is ticking. The change of seasons will not stop to do Ukraine a favour.
Russia has established a week ago a new navy base and local navy headquarter -
in Mariupol. You do not do that if you expect you cannot hold that ground, I would assume. Mariupol, that means the Asov Sea. Asov Sea, that may mean maritime supply lines.
I do not want to doom the offensive or claim they have no chance. All I say is that the operation is not going well and that my impression is it gets worse form week to week. What they have taken back so far, is not decisive. And I fear their losses are higher than we in the West expect.
My subjective view. I hope I am wrong.