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Old 03-23-23, 09:29 AM   #10442
Skybird
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https://www.nzz.ch/meinung/ukraine-d...&_x_tr_sl=auto

Ukraine must face tough decisions this year. The planned offensive will hardly run as successful and easy as it is described to the media. The losses of the ukrainian army are so high that they too must now force untrained "novices" into the trenches, even push special commandos and well-trained specialists into the trenches were they get mauled and are no longer available for that offensive. The West shows little real interest to see a clear victory by Ukraine, and its policy of delivering material reflects that: too much to die, too little to live. The war of attrition in the trenches works for Russia, and against Ukraine.

The Ukrainians must face the fact that the outcome of the war is not in their hands, despite all propaganda and heroic perseverance slogans. Sad, but fact.

I dare to predict that if this offensive that is rumoured fails to deliver big success, then that was it for Ukraine, because then the West's interest in supporting Ukraine further will grow in limitations and inhibitions. And that offensive will only be successful at further horrendous costs for the Ukrainians, most likely. They will suffer much more losses than the Russian defenders of occupied territories, like in almost every attacker-versus-defender scenario. Almost always the attacker must bear much higher losses than the entrenched defenders. Also, Biden will find it incraiongly difficult to push fzrtehr defence support through. And three quarter of the Republicans' followers are with either Trump or deSantis who both share the unwillingness to support Ukraine at all.

Ukraine's population has halved within the past 30 years. Once again.
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