There are two conditions under which Israel will start dropping and launching nuclear weapons.
One is when they are nuked, first. If Israel is nuked, there's no telling what the hell is going to happen. If it was me, knowing as much about Islam and the Koran as I now do, I would recognize it as a perceived weakness when all the muslims would be immediately incited to invade. I was moderated in another thread for posting exactly what I'd do, so I'll just leave this particular paragraph as it is.
Two is when they are invaded by a conventional armed mass. Troops. And if the troops had passed into the borders, and Israel was facing annhilation of it's population through conventional warfare, they would launch. Again, because it would be Jordan/Syria/Lebanon/Saudi Arabia/Qatar/Egypt against Israel, they are likely to retaliate against all of them. The muslim clergy stand united against the Jews, so it's highly probable they'll fall together, too.
There is the distinct possibility that, given certain targets, this would have the after effect of fracturing Islam -- not along sectarian lines, but along gang affiliation. There would be thousands of ambitious imams attempting to gain greater influence and become an ayatollah, leading to an entirely new inter-muslim conflict that Islam hasn't seen since it's founding.
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