[Skybird]

Right now while the Ukrainians have big success on the battlefield, Bubble Olaf calls Putin after a long break and tells him to allow diplomatic solutions by withdrawing first. At the same time repeated and inceasingly urgent calls by Kyiv for Germna anks and IFVs get oince again catgeoriclaly uzrled out by him and his carrictaure of a defenc emionsutress who boast at the same time that Germany is willing to take a military lead role in Europe. Why the Ukrainian demands become increwainglky urgent? Because they run out of ammo and spare parts for Sovjet made weapons and platforms and so must increasingly turn to Western equipment to be able to continue to fight. Also, the yhave the momentum but can only continue to make use of it if they can move forces quickly with moving supporting firepower for such troops movements quickly as well: so,m they need APCs/IFVs, and tanks.

German Rheinmetall said they have 16 Marder IFVs finalised for immediate delivery, and now finish 14 more Marders, and could prepare 70 more Marder sin short time.

How tio make sens eof this timing? I fear bad things. I fear Bubble Olaf fears Russian anger nif the yget beaten too badly, and so he does not want Ukrainian victories, but a "diplomatic" solution- which of course only makes sense to be called that if the ukrainians accept to talk about letting Russia annex more of their land.Scholz weants a negiotiated "peace" like this to go back to business as usual with Russia na dhave deliveries of anything form Russia coming back to normal - and maybe also having Germany, this "big military lead power in Europe" (in his reality-disconnected bubble-thinking)havign a role as mediator and briliant diplomat again,l like Germany and France already traded the Crimea to Russia in negotiations with Ukriane in 2015 which was still too weak back then to reject this favour.

A very underhanded double play I fear is running here.

Washington has singleled very lcerly they have no objecttiosn whatever toi gerkan deliveries if armour to Ukraine - Bubble OlAaf's excuse all time long is that eh woukld act not alone and only in close cooridnaiton with "the allkiues". In fact he si hgiding behind a lie about Washington's claimed stand, and other (Western) European powers hide behind Germany. And in this way Bubble Olaf has secured his goal of that the Ukraine does not get heavy armour of Western types.

I put it clearly what I think: Scholz wants to break the ukrainian momentum, and he wants to prevent a clear Russian defeat. Maybe he also wants to rpevent th ekurian beocming a NAOT and EU emeber ever, becasue foi you look at iots size, its population, its military ability and its rhich ressources and relvqnce ans a bread basket of the world, it would be a heavy weight entering the EU union and would fundamentally shift he power balances inside the block - at the cost of Germany, and France.

Its intrestign to see that the further away Wetsenr Europenba n atiosn are for Russia, the mroe fear they idnoicate of nculear war, or pretend to be worrie dbaout that, biut the highly endangered smaller states in the Baltic and Eatsenr Europe tend to be more courageous and coinfornting Russia withouzt watsign time on that "concern". Its no concern, I think - its a foul excuse to not get engaged too seriously.

What woudkl be neede dnow is to use the current opprutnity to really make it a very bad autumn for Russia by sending massive armoured reinforcements to the Ukraine. Now, immediately. Keep the momentum pushing Russia and hurting Russia.

Much oif the Germna mateiral, most of the Ge,rman howitzuer are out of action currently, due to needed repairs due to too much wear and tear they are currently beyond the or are being transported to the Western border. Germany is ranking 16th place in weapon contributions, but Bubble Olaf still claims that Germany is the most significant wepaon distributor to the Ukraine.

He lies, and lies, and lies. Sicne all years I observe him now. Always. As mayor. As finance minister. As chancellor. Blasé to the max, and completely full of himself. He has nothing but praise for his "work". The type always makes me completely stunned.