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Originally Posted by jason taylor
But there is still something to wonder-how much of what we think is true?
From the DanWat point of view is there a way to allow for unpredictably flawed doctrine? Is there a way to formally program the possibility of flawed doctrine?
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Really, it depends on what you mean by "doctrine." You could definitely start forming your own opinions on how survivable you thought carriers were, how effective you think SSKs are, etc. Those opinions might have some validity if you are smart about how you design the scenario. That's part of the fun of wargaming. If the scenario is well designed, it can sometimes even have predictive value.
It all, of course, depends on the assumptions you build into your scenario and the database numbers, but it's wargames very much like DW around which real world planners build doctrine and tactics. The conclusions they draw are only as good as the assumptions they build into them.