Quote:
Originally Posted by August
Agree 100% Catfish.
IMO there is really no such thing as a European "normal". Viewed historically the past 77 years, or at least the last 31, have been an uncharacteristically peaceful period in European History and I have often wondered how long it would last.
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Seems we lived in golden times indeed. I wonder if things would have developed differently with Russia (after 1990) being in NATO and/or the EU but this option is over anyway.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Skybird
They have the intention to continue beyond Ukraine, yes - but do they have the ability [...]
The Russians may have second and thjrd grade equipment only, but it nevertheless shoots. Ammo for that they have plenty, it looks like.
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Putin has enough conventional if older weapons for a limited war in Europe, if China holds still. He has to mobilize more troops of course.
(Maybe China
will intervene though, with who do they want to trade to bolster their own economy. With Russia or North Korea?)
And if he does not do it immediately it will come in few years, when the depleted reserves have been filled up again. Making it only harder for all.
Putin only needs to invent a staged "attack" by Nato on russian soil so he has to "react".
He did so before, from staged assassinations, to faked bomb laying, to the school incident, to "protect" russians in Donbas. He will create the pretext for a general mobilization against the evil invaders, we heard all this before.
"Seit 5 Uhr 45 wird jetzt zurueck [sic!]
geschossen!"
Never expect Putin or Medwedew would
not do it.