[Skybird]

Neither money nor eocnomy count in Putin's caculation. The inn er-Russian battle against oppsoition to the war has been won by his police force and fake justice.

He does not need to care for such things. Only for having enough bodies to throw at the front, that is his only concern, pretty much like the Sovjets did in the great battles against the Wehrmacht, and who was not shot during assault by the Germans, got shot by their own Sowjet officers. Time is working for Putin, the more time passes and the colder thw itne rgewts, the more mood in Europe and political stability and solidarity will crumble. He only needs to secure a constant of flow of Russioan bodies to the front. Its like driving an old locomotive, you only need to care for having enough water in the kettle and enough coals to throw into the fire, thats all. Of both Russia has plenty, come rain or come shine.


This works because many Russians living in urban areas and big cities miss the real taste of war, do not realise whats going on, because it is not their sons and fathers so much falling in Ukraine, but poor, socially disadvantaged poor lads from abandoned countrysides and ethnic minority groups, as well as crminals and mercs. Thats why I think it is absolutely necessary to enable the Ukraine to pay out the change in the currency Russia has choosen: the Ukraine must get the weapons to strike at Russian metropoles. Not necessarily civilian appartment buildings like the Russian terrorists prefer as targets to terorrise the population intentionally, but state and military buildings and institutions and garrieon inside big metropoles, powerplants, waterplants, bridges, communications, HQs, ministries, and so forth. Russians by majority must get a realistic taste of what is going in their name. They must be chase dout of bed by sirens in the night and near explosions. They must see in daylight the funerals in their neighbourhood.



Dangerous game. But such is the nature of war. Either you play it by its rules or you sit down and shoot a bullet right through yoor own head, it would not make a difference for the outcome. You play or you dont. Send them HIMARS, send therm MLRS - in the end the ukraine is currently loosing this war over the long distance. Putin plays the long-brertah card now. This cannot be allowed, a decision must be enforced much earlier by critically messing up situation inside Russia. Russia is much strionger than the Ukraine, has much more material and personnel reserves. If it is allowed to strangle Ukraine over time, Russia will win.



I would even consider to give them equivalents to the nuclear weapons they once had and then accepted to give up for prevcious US and UK "security guarantees". What these guarantees were worth we know since 2014: nothing. Not to enable them to start a nuclear escalation, but to keep Russia thinking twice before starting nuclear steps itself.