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Originally Posted by ET2SN
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Now, after the needed correction of assumptions that was enforced by Russia's invasion and its behaviour in its victim's country, the man in the video probably is right.
I also have started moving towards thinking that NATO must intervene in the Ukraine. A Russian victory of any sort there is only an encouraging of an attack against Poland, the most likely target. Thats not an issue of national pride or principle. It is simply an essential need of survival.
Russia still has immense military ressources, by material it is aabsolutely superior to the ukriane, and in the nlong run, in a war of attrition, it will be found that Russia could afford that while the Ukraine cannot. So, a Russian victory in the Ukraine still is absolutely possible, depsite recent Ukrainian battle victories. Russian still has a fearsome ammount of artillery and missile firepower and obviously has fallen back to what it already did in Syria: keeping distance and start shelling cities from a distance.
And the Russians will learn from what they have seen in the past 6 weeks, and will try to adapt. They will not blindly and optimistically rush into Poland again, but will prepare, and to their best understanding: improve their approach to things, if they can.
Lets not forget there also is Hungary with a quite Russia-friendly Victor Orban who just has secured an absolute majority in elections and now starts his fourth term, much to Brussel's despair. Russia maybe must not even strike Hungary to get it back.
And then there is Bulgaria, maybe even more Russia-friendly than Orban is.