[Skybird]

If - and that means: "if" - Russia attacks all Ukraine and conquers it, then a huge part of the Russian army is concentrated in that territory -. and suddenly shares borders with Poland, Slovakia, Hungary. And Putin already has made claim for owning all former Sovjet vasalls, too.

If he plays totally crazy horse and goes all in (which I doubt, but we cannot be certain of anything anymore, he has executed all comfortable certainties we based on in the past 30 years), and strikes in the Baltic region, too, I do not see that NATO, with or without the US, could defend or later retake the three small Baltic states without the use uf nukes. Which the US would not use for three small Baltic states, no doubt.

The big bulwark in the east must be Poland.

I wonder how the logistical background of the Russian army now is, after the many reforms and modernizations of theirs. I expect it to be fundamentally improved compared to the 1990s, but I know nothing about their logistcs systema and status nowadays.


And the US now launch sanctions against NS2 and related companies and directors that had been held back in the past months and year. Either the US does this now because Berlin had alreayd put the certification process on a temporary halt (thats how German media interpret it), or the Americans have realised that the announced German freeze indeed is no end but just a delay to NS2 and so they use the opportunity to hammer the penultimate nails into the coffin of NS2 (I could no longer criticise them for that like I still did one year ago).