[mapuc]

The Danish FE(Forsvarets efterretningstjeneste=Defense Intelligence Service)
Has sent a Press release..

Here is what it says
Start
"
The FE estimated that Kabul would hardly fall in 2021
The Defense Intelligence Service underestimated how quickly a takeover in Kabul would take place.

Questions have recently been raised about the intelligence base regarding the situation in Afghanistan, which the government was presented with in connection with the handling of the evacuation from Kabul.
The Defense Intelligence Service (FE) has continuously assessed the likelihood that Kabul would fall into the hands of the Taliban, as well as the time horizon for this.

Until immediately before the Taliban took power, the FE’s assessment was that Kabul was less likely to fall before the end of the year. This was i.a. stated at a briefing of the parliamentary parties on Monday, August 9, 2021
(it was based on this information the Danish government said it was time enough)

It was not a surprise that Kabul fell, but the speed at which it happened we had not considered probable. We based our assessments on the intelligence base we had available from, among others, our own collection, the Armed Forces and international partners, but it has turned out that our assessment was simply too optimistic.
"
End

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