Think I skip my trip to Hongkong - or China in general - after my postings here.
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/07/03/a...hnk/index.html
Quote:
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the legislation, which came into effect late Tuesday,doesn't only clamp down on freedoms at home. It also puts foreign citizens who criticize the Chinese government anywhere in the world at risk of jail if they even set foot in the city -- even if they are just transiting through the airport.
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Cowardish EU governments still stay put and silent over Hongkong and try to find a cozy place next to this tyranny that behaves not differently to its regional neighbours and the world like Germany did in the years before and until 1939. The UK raised its voice a bit, but in the end has no teeth impressing anyone in the region anymore.
China has dramatically increased its fleet of coast guard boats and uses these now to even harass fishing boats of other nations within these nations' own 12 miles zone.
The lack of reaction to the events in Hongkong, and the appeasing attitude by Europe towards Chinese criminal role in the Corona information policy, will no doubt have encouraged emperor Xing to give the same kind of treatment to Taiwan sooner or later. I no longer think of a military aggression as one possible scenario amongst others, but see it as a certainty now. Hongkong and western and regional reactions to it taught Bejing that it has nothing to fear from the world.
I am also very certain that the US will not go to war against China over Taiwan. Even more so since the Chinese will shatter the island faster with their rain of missiles than the US could react to that in mobilizing Pazific forces. Its not "if" to me, only "when". Maybe they use Corona as an umbrella to walk under. But Corona is economically difficult for them as well, so possibly it still is years away that they bring Taiwan back home into the Reich by force. With Xing installing his family as the Kim dynasty of China, he can play the long game.
Washington currently sent two carriers and six escorts (says a German newspaper) into the south Chinese Sea. Sabre rattling, and symbolic only. Such acting to me is just a parade. I am quite certain that China is not impressed, but will play the "we are indignent!" card.