[Skybird]

Michael gove has formally confirmed to EU commission vice presidne tMaros Sefcovic that the UK is not seekign an extension to the Brexit transition period. By formality, such a request would have needed to be made until end of this month. "The moment for extension has now passed", Gove said.

Both sides' positions have not changed in the past 5-6 months.

There will be a video conference of the the UK's and the EU heads of states. That is probably the very last opportunity to ask for an extension at the very last moment. As long as they do not break their previously agreed formal rules (which is not rare in the EU, if you think of it, but the normal modus operandi...) I think that is unlikely, however.

With Corona cracking down very hard on the UK, the outlook of Brexit needs to be reassessed, I think. I am much more pessimistic now. A dive of the econoym by over 20% in aporil and an expoected over-the-year shrink of 11% (likely to becomer highe rof the year, I think), is something that cannot be taken as granted to be disgestable.

Push the button, close your eyes and pray - in both scenarios (Brexit done, Brexit undone).