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Old 02-15-20, 06:30 PM   #397
Traveller
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rockstar View Post
If there was a massive outbreak in the U.S. we would already be hearing about how it was Trumps fault.

Yes here is still a chance those 15 confirmed cases in the U.S. could spread. Im just saying if it does we would hear more than a whisper.
There is nothing wrong with trying to be positive, but I really hope you are not being serious. Those 15 confirmed cases from Wuhan now in quarantine are not what you need to be worried about. Thousands of Chinese airline passengers (not to mention Japanese passengers) are still arriving in cities all over the US each day, and the only thing they are testing is for high fever.

Again, they are saying this coronavirus probably has an R0 (infection rate) of 4.7 to 6.6, meaning each infected person transmits it to 4-6 other people. Influenza has an R0 of only 1.2 to 1.6. Also, the incubation period can be up to 24 days, plus the virus can survive on surfaces for up to 10 days.

I can almost guarantee you it is now spreading around the US at this very moment, but serious symptoms have yet to show. Within 14 days, we will probably be seeing more cases in the US- most likely in larger cities like New York or Los Angeles. Same goes for London.
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