Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Quatro
SA has to worry about the rest of their oil production before testing Iran's plan to wipe them out and hear all of Europe yell "Leave Iran's oil productions alone they are all we have left to get through winter"
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That is NOT an issue at all, the EU does not import such decisive amounts of oil from either Iran or SA.
https://de.statista.com/statistik/da...nach-herkunft/
Germany for itself imports its oil from 3 dozen different nations. 2016 it got no oil from either SA or Iran. Our main suppliers were and are Russia (39% in 2016), Norway (11%) and the UK (10%). Kazachstan and Azerbaidschan already trail behind a bit, Algeria, Nigeria and Iraq trail even more clearly.
Iran will get away with this, I think, and with even further provocations they will get away as well. The Europeans are impotent, the Saudis without the US cannot chew the bite that a war with Iran would mean if they retaliate in full, and the US is unwilling to retaliate. Maybe a limited smybolic one-time strike by SA and US forces, and thats it.
The Iranians have learned a lot from Putin. But sly they already were before. This standoff will become another strategic defeat in a long string of defeats for the West in the recent two decades. Fighting the wrong wars, and fighting these in the wrong manner, and not fighting those that should be fought. The Iran story should have dropped from the headlines already 15 years ago. But then the concerned rose their heads, and the wavering and the indifferent, and so now we are where we are.
A wise man fights his enemies while they are still small and weak, he does not wait until they have grown strong.