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Old 09-16-19, 08:52 AM   #14
Skybird
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I am not saying it was not Iran, but the impact direciton and suggested flight paths concluded form them, means nothing. Both drones and cruise missiles can be programmed to follow preset flighttracks that - if wanted - let them running circles around a location, zig-zag, or approach from right the opposite direction at where the attacker originally launched the weapons.

The impact positions are no hard evidence.

I assume it was Iran indeed.

Russia: possible, it has a motive (pushing oil prices upwards, unsettling the West, supporting its ally Iran), but its very unlikely and wopuld be a daring game even for Russia's standards: thats why I say No.

China: not really any motive of theirs, they depend on oil imports.

Turkey: has a motive (local rivalry and seeking regional dominance, unsettling Europe), but then has also motives not to escalate this tremendously and piss the US, EU: No to Turkey.

Israel: possible, but has no real motive I am aware of, and its against their sober sense of pragmatism - so why pissing the Saudis?

Egypt: no motive I am aware of, and probably also lacking the options (I do not know the Egypt military).

Iraq? They have other things on their mind, are busy with keeping floating, and probably have not the needed hardware.

Yemen? Definitely a motive - its war - , but not without foreign help: see above list of candidates.

So I assume it was Iran. They have several motives, and the skill and technological options.

The mine attacks also were not proven to have been conducted by Iran, and still I assume it was them.

Pompejo needs to learn the difference between "evidence" - and "motive" and "hint", however. Talking about evidence to the public but not revealing said evidence due to protecting secret sources, does not count.
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Last edited by Skybird; 09-16-19 at 09:01 AM.
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