SUBSIM Radio Room Forums - View Single Post - Gulf of Oman suspected torpedo attack/escalating hostilities

Skybird · 06-13-19, 02:05 PM

"It was Iran" is the reaction that comes automatically. But it is not the only scenario possible.

Could be Iran with knowledge of the Iranian government. >50%.

Could be an Iranian camp (the RG for example) who acted without authorization by the Iranian government.>50%

Could be one of Iran's enemies to give Iran bad name and force American forces returning to the Gulf region in strength: Saudi Arabia. >25%

Could be the US to create a shunt casus belli. <25%

Could be Russian-helped to hint out what is at stake if the West goes after Iran by martial means. <20%

Numbers should only illustrate the general trend in probability I see in the scenarios being true.

06-13-19, 02:05 PM	#5
Skybird Soaring Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: the mental asylum named Germany Posts: 42,683 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	"It was Iran" is the reaction that comes automatically. But it is not the only scenario possible. Could be Iran with knowledge of the Iranian government. >50%. Could be an Iranian camp (the RG for example) who acted without authorization by the Iranian government.>50% Could be one of Iran's enemies to give Iran bad name and force American forces returning to the Gulf region in strength: Saudi Arabia. >25% Could be the US to create a shunt casus belli. <25% Could be Russian-helped to hint out what is at stake if the West goes after Iran by martial means. <20% Numbers should only illustrate the general trend in probability I see in the scenarios being true. __________________ If you feel nuts, consult an expert.