[Skybird]

I absolutely expect the Chinese to be capable to sink the hearts at the very centre of the American naval strategy - or become able to do so in the very near future. Carriers simpyl are too difficult to defend against a determined and technologically as advanced enemy, so when things turn serious for sure, I always bet my money against them. They are dinosaurs, and only political policing tools and weapons against weaker, inferior enemies.

However, Xi Jining'S recent speech is fa rmroe concerning. It does not happen that often that the enforced reunificationwith - or better: violent subjugation of - Taiwan is being demanded by a Chinese head of everything in such crystalclear, uncompromised, diplomatically relatively unhidden words. Maybe it is to make sure that bigmouth Donald gets the message in his own language. But the tone already has become rougher before Trump.

With America saying farewell to its role as world policeman and cravinbg for isolationism, if I were a Taiwanese, I would be deeply worried for the future of my country and the freedom and well-being of my next of kin.

The military balances in that reigon are shgifting, and against the US. And I cannot see America having a realistic plan to stop this trend with all needed determination. Its loosing the war over platform numbers, and bases, and technological lead: the gap in the latter - as far as it still may or may not exist, that is - is shrinking rapidly.

Personally I doubt that the US will accept to go to all out war against China in defence of Taiwan and other states in that region. Nor can I see it winning such a war. China will raise more and more pressure and launch more and more provocations - and strengthen its military stand throughout the region all the time.


That the West still "invests" in China and helps to make it that strong an enemy that it can chase the West out of Asia if it wants, and dominate and dictate the world market, is one of the biggest modern monuments for the stupidity of Western man. I think Germany even still pays them development aid (at least it still did 3 or 4 years agoi when I last time have read about it).