The times I've seen Carriers and other nice targets in Scapa they have been parked outside of the picture you posted. I've never seen one actually parked in port.
Just about exactly 180 from your pos. there, say 6 or 7 km is where they often are.
I've never waited in a port for ships to come. Just a sense from the game I guessed it would be unlikely or very rare. You are better off returning and going back next patrol, I think.
But yeah, you don't have to go that far in as far as I know. Others may have seen otherwise. Not sure.
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