Quote:
Originally Posted by mapuc
I could be wrong
Do you know why NATO would hesitate in such a scenario where Russia invade Ukraine and all or some of the Baltic states
In the last 30-40 years I have heard, seen and read high ranked officer on both side saying A war between WP and NATO(From the old days) and today A war between NATO and Russia will end in a thermonuclear war.
The only difference is when this will happen.
And that could very well be the reason the outgrowing fear of a thermonuclear war if NATO would engage Russia if they invaded Some of the Baltic states or all of them-
you know the Oath in NATO-if one is attacked then every country in the alliance is attacked
If Russia do attack some of NATO's member-The Baltic states
The other countries in NATO will find a political excuse to avoid confrontation.
Markus
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One should not take it for granted that Wetsern natiosn stand in line for mutual Western-Rssian destruction just to defend a small tiny place - however lovely it may be - like for exmaple Lithuania. The residents in this country are rightfully worried, I think, and the Ukraine was the laboratory experiment by which Russia tested how to take over a place without triggering strong NATO replies.
What holds Russia back, is not military fear of NATO, but economic concerns.
Conventionally, the Eastern European countries of NATO currently are undefendable. Lets say that in all clarity.
The only militaries in Europe that indeed are war-capable currently, are the British, the French, and the Turkish ones. Also, they are "used" to it. The German IS NOT. Thats not just my impression, but that is the feedback of insiders that I have gotten repeatedly over the past 20 years. We have de-armed way too much.
That German defence ministress von der Leyen on her visit to Lithuania two days ago, had to fly back not with the German pride, the Airbus A400M - "
The most advanced military transport in the world!!!" - but had to be shuttled out in a 50 years old Transall the Airbus should replace, because that damn thing A400M once again broke down, is symptomatic.
I am hating the A400M since many years. Incompetence in the ministry's planning, incometence in the producer's assembling. Awful project, and a money-grave. Terrible plane. Next time simply buy the C130. But the Germans allways want the
"eierlegende Wollmilchsau".