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Old 09-12-16, 08:53 AM   #7
Skybird
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With their claims for the whole South Chinese Sea, China strategically cannot allow to let South Korea win a war with the North, destroying or conquering or liberating it. Either the North wins all by itself, or China intervenes and either cracking the South open or at least enforcing a seize fire and securing of the status quo.

The real questions is whether China can afford to let North Korea win either. And whether the US indeed is willing to have a big scale war with China over Korea. Also, that the US could win over the South Chinese Sea, is increasingly in question. The tides are changing against the US. Obama did nothing to change that.

China has zero intererst in Korean unification. Not under Northern and not under Southern rules.

Some outcomes of conflicts and fights are more predictable than others. This one is extremely unpredictable. Stay away from it, all sides of you! Korea is a powderkeg that cannot be calculated.

Europe must finally learn to come up for its military security all by itself, to free the - financial - ressources the US needs to deal with China, reshifting them from Europe to the Far East and the Pacific fleet. Of course, it won't - we all know that Europe hates to spend on military, not to mentuion to the degree needed to compensate a dropout of the US and not to mention to go beyond that and even grow militarily stronger than the European state of NATO things is. But at last it can and must be said that this is what Europe should do. Instead we have narcisistic endless debates about a unified EU army and symbolically " containing" Russian divisions with re-allocating two or three batallions here and there - hilarious.

I know that the US claims that it can handle several conventional wars at the same time all by itself, if necessary. Its just that I do not believe that for one second. Nobody can do that anymore. Not if it is about wars against the heavyweights out there. And not in the age of cyberwarfare against the civilian infrastructure of countries.

And this: an accidental outbreak of a major war in that world area, is a very realistic concern.
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Last edited by Skybird; 09-12-16 at 09:13 AM.
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