[kraznyi_oktjabr]

I'm quite sure that driver's licenses are not going anywhere. Problem I see with lesser certificate training is that if person is only able to safely park car into side of the road or at the most drive few kilometres at slow speed, then what will you do when computer breaks down in middle of nowhere? Would you rather know how to drive yourself to closest town or wait for hours for "rescue" to arrive?

I'm 26 years old and if I survive as long as my grandparents I will die when I'm about 86 years old. That means 60 years I'm not sure if that is enough for me to witness the day of automated cars routinely operating in public roads.

Consider automated trains. Technology required for them isn't new. Oldest example I'm aware of is exprerimental system used in passenger service in New York City Subway's 42nd Street shuttle from 1959 to 1964 (mostly destroyed in Grand Central fire and never repaired). This system was semi-automatic with drivers operating doors (as in Jubilee line mentioned already) but technology itself could have enabled fully automatic operation.

Despite tremendous advancements in technology over last 50 years automated trains are still restricted to few fully grade separated metro systems instead of being in widespread use. Currently it looks like this won't change in another half a century.