Quote:
Originally Posted by CCIP
One more thing I'll point out: I'm completely 100% in favour of withdrawing all Russian troops from there, whoever they are and whatever their level of organization, and I also totally support the sanctions against Russia. But I think the only thing that escalation and armament is going to accomplish is give Russia more things to shoot at and more excuses to get involved. There's really not a military solution to a problem - and I think if the Ukraine is supported in pursuing a military solution to the separatists, the cure will be worse than the disease. Although to be honest, I don't think there's really a good way out of this anymore. I think all signs point to both sides readying for a violent summer campaign.
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Sadly I think you're right. I mean, if the US arms the Ukrainian military, Russia will just up the level of support that it's giving the separatists, until we have a game of tennis going on between the US and Russia over who can give the most powerful weaponry to their respective sides...probably wind up with the Ukrainians flying F-35s or something...let's face it, someone has got to find a use for that thing.
But yes, jibes at the Golden Eagle aside, it is shaping up to be a bloody summer, and I think the US will likely supply arms to Ukraine, but I doubt it'll do much more than just increase the bloodshed, sadly. I don't think there's any way the Ukrainian military can get the separatist area back under control. Even if it smashed its way through, there would be an insurgency issue to contend with for the coming years. The area is pretty much a write off, Ukraine would be better off to cut its losses, it's a pretty small area in total, I think they lost more when Crimea went, and what industry is in there is probably a smouldering ruin by now.
