View Single Post
Old 09-05-14, 09:33 AM   #1481
ikalugin
Ocean Warrior
 
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Moscow, Russia
Posts: 3,212
Downloads: 8
Uploads: 0


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neal Stevens View Post


But is seems like nothing will be resolved with dialogue until after Russia carves off another piece of Ukraine for itself.


We (the West) have a red line, and that is NATO. Until that is crossed, we have no war to fight. If Putin tries his Sudetenland tricks on the Baltics, then we are at war.
This is dependent on if Ukranian authorities can reach a compromise on their policies with Russia. If they do not they would be further pressured. The Russian terms were not really changed throught the conflict and they are not really that impossible or horrible (no worse than IMF terms when they give you a loan I am sure).

That said at the moment such a compromise is becomming less and less likely.

Sadly, history teaches us that this was not the case in the past. This and the manuever room of the article 5 (discussed above) makes me less than certain that this would happen.
ikalugin is offline   Reply With Quote