[Skybird]

I still think that the Kremlin all in all plays this whole match according to its original two phase plan: to get the Crimean and deny it and the rest of Eastern Ukraine to NATO, and to enforce a federalist structure of the remaining Ukraine where the federalist forces of the Eastern provinces make sure the complete state remains to be no threat and is not likely to join EU, and more important: not joining NATO.

Its the only way I can make sense of this huge 280 trucks-convoy. It is the deception to prepare a Russian peace keeping mission. Russian tanks with additional emblems below and beside their national emblems, should have been spotted already.

Kiev will hate to not get back the full territory that it claims.

I also still think that the West under no circumstances should get envolved there, and should not deliver military aid or forces. The Ukraine is a failed state, and a bottomless money pit. What the heck should the EU do with such a sinkhole for Western tax money? The EU is in desperate need of financial stability, not just more hungry mouths that demand to get fed. It'S in Europe'S best interest to not get involved over the Ukraine - militarily anyway, but also financially and economically. It just is costs, no gains, no real compensation different to "cultural enrichment". And the latter - pays no bills, nor is it often to be seen. Quite the opposite: it causes more and higher bills, and does cultural damage.