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Originally Posted by Dread Knot
She might not be popular, but that may not matter as Obama wasn't terribly popular with the masses when he was re-elected. It's more a matter of the party some will never vote for unless things change.
The problem for the Republicans is that they're steadily losing the battle for voters from ethnic groups and the young. It's a sign of things to come in traditionally Red states like North Carolina and Texas, where large influxes of Latino immigrants and relocated Yankees, both black and white, are slowly tilting the demographic balance toward the Democrats. The old Southern Strategy devised in the Nixon years is slowly crumbling. I don't see any new strategy being formulated to replace it besides a lot of gerrymandering.
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Big difference, Obama was a new face with a new message, Hillary isn't. Also the future Dem running is going to suffer the Obama effect. There's a lot of talk of Warren, but she has no chance, because she is left of Obama at the onset.
I think Hillary peaked her last run and her star power among liberals has faded, but I don't count Hillary out. Much depends on who the GOP runs. If they make another Palin mistake, go too far right, Hillary could win.
The election process now is like Christmas starting in July and ending in May....with one month to celebrate victory.