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Originally Posted by scandium
... Without the break from Enigma being cracked its possible that America would have maintained the same firmly neutral position in '41 it had displayed up until then; that German convoy attacks would have been more successful while attrition from u-boat losses would have been lower and that Britain, being effectively cut off from needed goods, resources, and lines of communication with its colonies, and without US intervention, would have surrendered (probably conditionally which Germany would likely have accepted, being bogged down on the Eastern front at the same time).
Then with the European war decided, fascism on the rise, Roosevelt would have had 3 choices: cast his lot in with the Communists to try, finally, to put Hitler in check; Join the Axis in its fight against Communism; or lastly, simply adopt an isolationist stance and maintain the neutrality it had proclaimed all along. I think the last most likely.
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Good analisys. Under Roosevelt America would probably return to isolationism. However it is far from sure that som form of fascism would not have infected the American society - as it did with many societies in Europe. In the elections of 1944 Roosevelt might well have been beaten and a more conservative (if not fascist) President might have been elected, who would decide to team up with Germany.
For some fascinating "What if"-reading on this subject: "The Plot Against America" by Philip Roth, 2004.