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Old 08-30-13, 06:06 PM   #402
mapuc
CINC Pacific Fleet
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Platapus View Post
It is true about the centrifuges, although there is some uncertainty whether they are new centrifuges or moved existing centrifuges. The issue is that there has to be a lot more than just the presence of centrifuges to indicate an active nuclear weapon development effort.

Centrifuges only mean that some enrichment of uranium is underway. Without knowing the configuration of the stages and cascades, no estimation of enrichment level can be made. Knowing the number of centrifuges is not enough.

Cynically, I think that Iran is about a year or two from developing a weapon... and will always remain so.
When thinking about it I must admit you are right. Even though they try hard to develop their own bomb, I don't think they will succeed with that.

It seems that I was wrong about Iran and their "bomb" however I stil say they won't attack Israel.

Markus
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