Quote:
Originally Posted by Tribesman
All the possible regional problems were well known before hand, the sectarian trouble in the country itself were well established for many decades.
These were obvious before the time, not becoming obvious with time.
The failure to accept and plan for all those "known knowns" is just anothetr indication of how much of a failure the mission was.
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Obviously the postwar period was incredibly poorly planned, no question there.
However, predicting that a full scale civil war would break out is another thing altogether.
Who knew the Balkans would dissolve into civil war in the 90s?
Why did Lybia not descend into civil war after Qaddafi was toppled? There was'nt much of a state apparatus left.
What about Egypt or Tunisa?
Why did Syria erupt in a civil war? surely not for lack of a repressive State apparatus.
Why has Saudi Arabia not dissolved into civil war? it has a large Shiite minority.
Its a lot easier after the fact to analyse what went wrong. It was not that obvious to anyone on april 9, 2003.